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Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Forecast Discussion


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000
WTNT42 KNHC 222034
TCDAT2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Discussion Number  70
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122017
500 PM AST Fri Sep 22 2017

After 70 advisories, enough is enough.  The tropical-storm-force
winds from Jose have finally subsided and moved out of the
southern New England.  Thus, the wind hazard to land has decreased,
and this will be the last advisory on Jose since it is already
post-tropical. A slow decay over cold water is forecast while the
low drifts southeastward to southward.  The cyclone should
degenerate into a trough within 3 days as forecast by the global
models.

The swell and rip current threat will remain across large portions
of the U.S. east coast for quite some time, due to the wave field
from both Jose and Maria.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/2100Z 39.3N  69.1W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  23/0600Z 39.1N  69.1W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 24H  23/1800Z 38.7N  68.7W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  24/0600Z 38.4N  67.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  24/1800Z 38.2N  68.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake