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Remnants of KAREN Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTNT42 KNHC 061432
TCDAT2

REMNANTS OF KAREN DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122013
1000 AM CDT SUN OCT 06 2013

EARLY MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF
KAREN HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER WELL DEFINED. AS A
RESULT...KAREN IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THIS WILL BE THE
LAST ADVISORY. THE REMNANTS OF KAREN HAVE BEEN MOVING QUICKLY
EASTWARD THIS MORNING AT AROUND 11 KT...AND SHOULD CONTINUE ON A
GENERAL EASTWARD TRACK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID/UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT UNTIL THEY ARE OVERTAKEN BY THE
FRONT IN A DAY OR SO. 

THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DISPLACED WELL TO THE EAST OF
THE REMNANT CENTER...AND REGENERATON IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO EVEN
HIGHER VALUES OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ADVECTING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. 

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF KAREN CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. INTERESTS ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST CAN FIND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IN PRODUCTS
FROM THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  06/1500Z 28.1N  89.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



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Page last modified: Sunday, 06-Oct-2013 14:32:34 UTC