Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane ODILE Wind Speed Probabilities


Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  


000
FOPZ15 KNHC 150259
PWSEP5

HURRICANE ODILE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014               
0300 UTC MON SEP 15 2014                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

YUMA AZ        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

ENSENADA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

P ABREOJOS     34  3  28(31)  49(80)   8(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   3( 3)  39(42)  13(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)  18(18)  12(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO  64 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)

LA PAZ         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LA PAZ         50 95   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
LA PAZ         64 65   5(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)

LORETO         34 30  61(91)   5(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
LORETO         50  1  35(36)  13(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
LORETO         64  X   8( 8)   9(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   6(14)   3(17)   1(18)

HERMOSILLO     34  1   4( 5)  11(16)   9(25)   3(28)   1(29)   X(29)
HERMOSILLO     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

BAHIA KINO     34  1   6( 7)  25(32)  16(48)   2(50)   1(51)   X(51)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)
BAHIA KINO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GUAYMAS        34  3  17(20)  21(41)   5(46)   2(48)   X(48)   X(48)
GUAYMAS        50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

HUATABAMPO     34  8  23(31)   5(36)   2(38)   1(39)   1(40)   X(40)

LOS MOCHIS     34 38   9(47)   1(48)   1(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)

CULIACAN       34 83   1(84)   X(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
CULIACAN       50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MAZATLAN       34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 15-Sep-2014 03:00:08 UTC