Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Post-Tropical Cyclone HOWARD Wind Speed Probabilities


Home   Public Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  


000
FOPZ14 KNHC 032032
PWSEP4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HOWARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092016               
2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HOWARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE