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Tropical Depression Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities


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000
FOPZ14 KNHC 212046
PWSEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017               
2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED     
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)

10N 105W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)   2(13)   X(13)

15N 105W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  45(52)  14(66)   4(70)
15N 105W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)  14(36)   2(38)
15N 105W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   8(17)   1(18)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   5(20)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  10(17)   4(21)
MANZANILLO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
MANZANILLO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   2(17)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
L CARDENAS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)   1(16)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

10N 100W       34  X  21(21)  40(61)   3(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)
10N 100W       50  X   2( 2)  18(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
10N 100W       64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

15N 100W       34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   8(21)   3(24)   X(24)
15N 100W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
15N 100W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   1(12)

P MALDONADO    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)

10N 95W        34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)

10N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

15N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)  12(31)
15N 110W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)
15N 110W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)

20N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  13(25)
20N 110W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
20N 110W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)  19(35)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

15N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
15N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
15N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA