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Tropical Storm LESTER Wind Speed Probabilities


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000
FOPZ13 KNHC 262031
PWSEP3

TROPICAL STORM LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016               
2100 UTC FRI AUG 26 2016                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

ISLA CLARION   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

15N 115W       34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 115W       34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

15N 120W       34  1   3( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   1(12)   X(12)

20N 120W       34  2   9(11)  21(32)   3(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)
20N 120W       50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)  11(18)   X(18)   X(18)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)  25(45)   X(45)   X(45)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   9(21)   1(22)
15N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)  16(43)   1(44)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)   1(15)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)

15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   9(24)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)  11(38)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)
20N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
20N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN