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Hurricane LESTER Wind Speed Probabilities


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000
FOPZ13 KNHC 300851
PWSEP3

HURRICANE LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016               
0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

15N 135W       34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 135W       34 21   5(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

15N 140W       34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)

20N 140W       34  X   5( 5)  44(49)   8(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
20N 140W       50  X   1( 1)  10(11)   6(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
20N 140W       64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  55(65)   2(67)   X(67)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  33(34)   2(36)   X(36)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   1(16)   X(16)

25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  42(53)   4(57)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   2(21)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)

25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  38(43)   7(50)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   3(18)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  16(30)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  14(21)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)

BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)
HANA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)

26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN