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Tropical Depression Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities (Text)


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
2100 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   4(13)

MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   2(24)   X(24)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  20(26)   X(26)   X(26)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

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Page last modified: Saturday, 19-Aug-2017 20:34:30 UTC