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Tropical Depression NINE Wind Speed Probabilities


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FONT14 KNHC 290255
PWSAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016               
0300 UTC MON AUG 29 2016                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)

AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)

KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   8(18)
KINGS BAY GA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   5(14)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   8(19)
MAYPORT NS FL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   7(18)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   7(23)
GAINESVILLE FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   9(22)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   7(24)
THE VILLAGES   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   6(20)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   7(17)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   7(17)

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   6(15)

W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)

FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)

MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)

MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)

KEY WEST FL    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)

NAPLES FL      34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   6(12)   2(14)

FT MYERS FL    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   8(14)   2(16)

VENICE FL      34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   7( 9)  10(19)   3(22)
VENICE FL      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   7( 8)  14(22)   5(27)
TAMPA FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)

CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  14(22)   5(27)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)   3(18)

ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  12(18)   3(21)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  14(24)   3(27)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)

GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)  14(16)  15(31)   3(34)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  10(19)   2(21)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)

MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)

WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   1(12)

PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)   1(13)

GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  13(16)   9(25)   1(26)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)

MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)

GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)

STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)

BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  10(14)   4(18)   X(18)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)

GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

HAVANA         34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART