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Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
2100 UTC THU AUG 17 2017                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  18(20)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  20(30)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)

PT GALLINAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)

CURACAO        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)

MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   X(10)

KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   X(13)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ANTIGUA        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

AVES           34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

DOMINICA       34  X   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

MARTINIQUE     34  X  17(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X  35(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
SAINT LUCIA    50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X  31(31)   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
SAINT VINCENT  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BARBADOS       34  4  25(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)

GRENADA        34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

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Page last modified: Thursday, 17-Aug-2017 20:48:41 UTC