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Tropical Depression Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities (Text)


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)

BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   6( 9)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)

JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   7(11)

GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   7(17)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   8(14)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   9(17)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   7(15)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   9(19)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)  10(20)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  10(18)   4(22)   4(26)   7(33)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   4( 8)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)

FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)   8(20)

LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   5(17)   9(26)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)

CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   7(15)   5(20)   9(29)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   4(16)   7(23)

KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  11(18)   5(23)   6(29)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   9(18)   5(23)   7(30)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)

GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)  16(32)   4(36)   5(41)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  16(28)   5(33)   6(39)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)   9(28)   3(31)
AUSTIN TX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)   7(27)   3(30)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)

FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  19(22)  19(41)   3(44)   5(49)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   2(14)
FREEPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  31(41)  11(52)   1(53)   3(56)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   6(15)   2(17)   2(19)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  13(25)   4(29)   6(35)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  25(29)  21(50)   2(52)   3(55)
MATAGORDA TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)   3(18)   1(19)
MATAGORDA TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)

PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  30(34)  20(54)   3(57)   2(59)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)   1(21)   2(23)
PORT O CONNOR  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)

ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  31(35)  21(56)   2(58)   3(61)
ROCKPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)   2(22)   1(23)
ROCKPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  26(30)  20(50)   3(53)   2(55)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   1(17)   1(18)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)

GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   1( 1)  17(18)  44(62)   9(71)   1(72)   2(74)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   8(30)   1(31)   1(32)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

MCALLEN TX     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  19(23)   8(31)   3(34)   1(35)
MCALLEN TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
MCALLEN TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

HARLINGEN TX   34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  27(34)   8(42)   3(45)   2(47)
HARLINGEN TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)
HARLINGEN TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  27(37)   7(44)   2(46)   2(48)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   1(13)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   3( 3)  35(38)  13(51)   2(53)   1(54)   2(56)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)  10(17)   X(17)   1(18)   X(18)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LA PESCA MX    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)

TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    

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Page last modified: Wednesday, 23-Aug-2017 14:49:39 UTC