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Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities


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ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  

HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  58                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017               
2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   3(13)   1(14)   1(15)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   2(13)   1(14)   1(15)

CONCORD NH     34  1   7( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   2(15)   1(16)   1(17)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  3   7(10)   4(14)   2(16)   3(19)   2(21)   1(22)

WORCESTER MA   34  8   6(14)   5(19)   2(21)   3(24)   2(26)   1(27)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  7   5(12)   4(16)   2(18)   2(20)   2(22)   1(23)

BOSTON MA      34  9   9(18)   5(23)   2(25)   3(28)   2(30)   1(31)

HYANNIS MA     34 24  15(39)   8(47)   3(50)   4(54)   2(56)   1(57)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34 37  18(55)   6(61)   4(65)   3(68)   1(69)   1(70)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

PROVIDENCE RI  34 18  11(29)   5(34)   2(36)   4(40)   2(42)   1(43)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34 11   6(17)   4(21)   1(22)   2(24)   3(27)   X(27)

NEW HAVEN CT   34 12   6(18)   4(22)   1(23)   3(26)   2(28)   1(29)

HARTFORD CT    34 10   6(16)   4(20)   1(21)   2(23)   2(25)   2(27)

NEW LONDON CT  34 18   9(27)   4(31)   2(33)   4(37)   2(39)   1(40)

ALBANY NY      34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  5   4( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   1(14)   2(16)   1(17)

MONTAUK POINT  34 28  10(38)   5(43)   2(45)   4(49)   2(51)   X(51)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)

ISLIP NY       34 16   6(22)   4(26)   1(27)   3(30)   2(32)   2(34)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 11   5(16)   3(19)   1(20)   2(22)   2(24)   1(25)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  9   5(14)   3(17)   1(18)   2(20)   2(22)   1(23)

NEWARK NJ      34  8   5(13)   2(15)   1(16)   2(18)   2(20)   1(21)

TRENTON NJ     34  7   4(11)   2(13)   X(13)   1(14)   2(16)   1(17)

NWS EARLE NJ   34 11   5(16)   2(18)   1(19)   2(21)   2(23)   1(24)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  5   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   2(11)   1(12)

PHILADELPHIA   34  7   3(10)   2(12)   X(12)   1(13)   2(15)   1(16)

ATLANTIC CITY  34 12   4(16)   2(18)   1(19)   1(20)   3(23)   1(24)

BALTIMORE MD   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)

DOVER DE       34  7   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   1(12)   1(13)   2(15)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)

WASHINGTON DC  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34 10   4(14)   1(15)   X(15)   1(16)   1(17)   3(20)

OCEAN CITY MD  34 11   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   1(16)   2(18)   2(20)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)

WALLOPS CDA    34  8   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   2(14)   3(17)

RICHMOND VA    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)

NORFOLK NAS    34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   2( 8)

NORFOLK VA     34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   2( 8)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)

NEW RIVER NC   34  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
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