Current tropical cyclone forecast track and danger area for any active system is depicted as the shaded region in the map. Danger area is determined by adding 100-200-300 nautical miles to the 24-48-72 hour forecast position and maximum 34 knot wind radii respectively. The values used in determining danger areas are based on the latest 10-year average error in forecast tracks issued by the National Hurricane Center. The National Hurricane Center does not warrant that avoiding these danger areas will eliminate the risk of harm from tropical cyclones. Users operating in the vicinity of these systems are advised to continually monitor the latest tropical cyclone advisories from the National Hurricane Center and proceed at their own risk. This product also includes areas of possible tropical cyclone formation within the next 36 hours.
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Page last modified: Friday, 12-Aug-2005 21:52:41 GMT
