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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
1500 UTC WED JUL 02 2014
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 13(28)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 11(34)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 36(41) 2(43)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) 4(38)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 1(32)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 33(51) X(51)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) X(20)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 16(50) X(50)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) X(20)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 24(30) 1(31)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 20(33) X(33)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10)
ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15(29) X(29)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8)
EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 8(23) X(23)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18)
BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 1(33) X(33)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)
HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 44(44) X(44) X(44)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) X(24) X(24)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 6(28) X(28) X(28)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 28(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29)
WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 48(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 48(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 3( 4) 55(59) 16(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 20(20) 21(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
WILMINGTON NC 34 1 5( 6) 46(52) 3(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 16(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 9(10) 28(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 12(13) 6(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
AUGUSTA GA 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MAYPORT NS 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
JACKSONVILLE 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ORLANDO FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 20-Jan-2016 16:54:11 UTC