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Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Advisory Number  1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022017
500 PM EDT Wed Jun 05 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA...
...DISTURBANCE OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM TOMORROW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 86.5W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the west coast of
Florida from Boca Grande to Ochlocknee River.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* The west coast of Florida from Boca Grande to Ochlocknee River

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
Expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland warnings, please monitor products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
The area of disturbed weather in the east-central Gulf of Mexico 
is gradually becoming better defined, and now poses a risk of 
bringing tropical storm conditions to portions of Florida.  With 
the expectation that the developing system will become a tropical 
cyclone before reaching the coast, the disturbance has been designated 
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two and advisories have been initiated.

At 500 PM EDT (2200 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 
25.5 North, longitude 86.5 West.  The system is moving toward the 
north near 3 MPH (6 KM/H).  A northeastward motion at a faster 
forward speed is expected on Thursday and that general motion 
should continue Through Friday.  The disturbance is forecast to 
reach the coast of the Florida big bend on Thursday afternoon or 
evening, and move over southeastern Georgia and eastern South 
Carolina Thursday Night and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Conditions appear favorable for further development and the system 
is expected to become a tropical cyclone tonight or early Thursday, 
and become a tropical storm before it reaches the west coast of 
Florida.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area Thursday afternoon, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
Cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
Waters.  The water could reach the following heights above ground
If the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Tampa Bay northward to Apalachicola...2 to 4 ft
Florida west coast south of Tampa Bay...1 to 2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the south of the landfall location. Surge-related flooding depends
On the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can
vary greatly over short distances.  For information specific to
your area, please see products issued by your local National
Weather Service office.

RAINFALL:  Total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are expected 
over much of the Florida peninsula, eastern parts of the Florida 
panhandle, and southeastern Georgia, with isolated maximum amounts 
of 8 inches possible.  Total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches 
are also expected over eastern South Carolina and eastern North 
Carolina.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible over the Florida peninsula
late tonight through Thursday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Brown/Brennan

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