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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251135
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Genevieve, located more than a thousand miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii.

An area of low pressure located a little more than a thousand miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. There is some potential for development during the next day or two before the environment becomes unfavorable. The system is forecast to move toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms, associated with a tropical wave, continues well south of the coast of southern Mexico. Upper-level winds are expected to become a little more favorable for development of this system over the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of southeastern Mexico late this weekend. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&& Public Advisories on Genevieve are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$ Forecaster Avila

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