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Eastern North Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011959
TWOEP

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM PDT FRI JUL 1 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special outlook issued to update the discussion of the low pressure system located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Updated: Satellite wind data indicate that the circulation associated with the area of low pressure located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better defined today. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has also increased in organization during the past few hours. Some additional development of this system is expected during the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form while the low moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

A broad area of low pressure continues several hundred miles south- southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, and only slow development is expected today and Saturday. After that time, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for a tropical depression to form while the system moves westward to west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$ Forecaster Brennan/Berg

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