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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180500
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 17 2013
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ALVIN...
CONTINUES ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ALTHOUGH
SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE LOW IS
WELL DEFINED...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS
DISORGANIZED. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INHIBIT ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN