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Eastern North Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251136
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 25 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located about 825 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized overnight. Satellite imagery also suggests that the circulation is gradually becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

An area of low pressure located about 1275 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next couple of days. After that time, environmental conditions could become more conducive for development. This system is expected to move west-northwestward during the next couple of days, and then turn northward as it approaches the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$ Forecaster Brown

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