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Eastern Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241152
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A surface trough located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has moved into the central Pacific basin. Please see the Tropical Weather Outlook from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center for more details.

A low pressure system located about 1550 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little overnight. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and this system is expected to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms has formed well south of the coast of southeastern Mexico. Upper-level winds are expected to become more favorable for development of this system over the next few days while its moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple of days roughly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some gradual development of this system is possible by the weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

The central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO.

$$ Forecaster Blake

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