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Eastern North Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 242332
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 24 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system located about 850 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Sur continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Satellite data indicates that a well-defined surface circulation does not yet exist. Environmental conditions are forecast to remain conducive for development while the system moves slowly northward, and a tropical depression is expected to form on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii have become a little more organized this afternoon. Any additional development should be slow to occur for the next couple of days. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for further development of this disturbance by early next week. This system is expected to move west-northwestward during the next couple of days and then turn northward as it approaches the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$ Forecaster Beven/Zelinsky

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