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Eastern North Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011735
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI JUL 1 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure continues several hundred miles south- southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, and only slow development is expected today and Saturday. After that time, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for a tropical depression to form while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Satellite imagery this morning indicates that the circulation associated with the low pressure area several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to become better defined. However, the associated shower activity is currently poorly organized. Some additional development of this system is possible during the next couple days as it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$ Forecaster Beven

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