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Eastern Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 020801
TWOEP

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to update the discussion of the low pressure system southwest of Mexico.

Updated: Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the low pressure system located about 300 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing a small area of gale-force winds. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not yet acquired sufficient organization or persistence for the low to be considered a tropical cyclone, only a slight increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical storm, and advisories could be initiated later today. This system is expected to move slowly northward and then northwestward near the southwestern coast of Mexico and the extreme southern Baja California peninsula during the next few days, and interests in these areas should monitor the progress of the disturbance. Locally heavy rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

&&

For additional information on the low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC.

$$ Forecaster Berg

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