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Eastern Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240552
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1450 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has remained poorly defined over the past several hours. Shower activity is currently limited, and development of this system is becoming less likely. The disturbance is expected to move slowly west-northwestward to westward, and it could cross 140W longitude and into the Central Pacific basin on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could occur during the next day or so. After that time, however, the disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure could form early next week several hundred miles south of the coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the system while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$ Forecaster Stewart

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