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Atlantic 2-Day GTWO
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000
ABNT20 KNHC 300538
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph. Associated shower activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the system any development should be slow to occur. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. By the middle of next week, the disturbance is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions could become more conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Cabo Verde continues to show signs of organization. Although this system does not have a well-defined circulation at this time, some development is still possible during the next day or two before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$ Forecaster Stewart

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