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Atlantic 2-Day GTWO
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000
ABNT20 KNHC 062332
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
735 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending northward from the Bahamas to just offshore of the coast of the Carolinas are associated with an upper-level trough and a weak surface low located a couple of hundred miles east of the northeast Florida coast. Conditions are expected to become gradually more favorable for development over the next day or so while this system moves slowly northward and then northwestward. A subtropical or tropical cyclone could form by tomorrow or Friday, and interests along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible over portions of the coastal southeastern United States beginning tomorrow. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 2 AM EDT on Thursday. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

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High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml

$$ Forecaster Pasch/Kimberlain

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