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Atlantic 2-Day GTWO
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000
ABNT20 KNHC 010551
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure located south of Campeche on the western coast of the Yucatan Peninsula is producing a large area of showers and scattered thunderstorms. This system is showing signs of organization while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, and development of a tropical depression will be possible when the center of the disturbance moves over the warm waters of the Bay of Campeche later today and into Tuesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, this system will produce heavy rainfall across the Yucatan Peninsula and southeastern Mexico today and Tuesday, and across portions of eastern mainland Mexico on Tuesday and Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$ Forecaster Stewart

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