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ABNT20 KNHC 192334
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days as it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing limited and disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves toward the west-northwest at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$ Forecaster Beven