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000
ABNT20 KNHC 260527
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a large low pressure area located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands has increased and become a little better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Windward Islands, the southeastern and south-central Caribbean Sea, as well as the northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$ Forecaster Stewart

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