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Atlantic 2-Day GTWO
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000
ABNT20 KNHC 291738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 20-25 mph. The associated shower activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the system any development should be slow to occur. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. By the middle of next week, the wave is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions could be more conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Shower activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to show signs of organization. However, recent satellite wind data indicate that the low does not have a well-defined circulation. Some development is possible during the next day or two before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$ Forecaster Beven

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