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000
ABNT20 KNHC 070549
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
150 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located about 220 miles south-southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border has been nearly stationary the past several hours. Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized and environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development over the next day or so while this system moves slowly northward and then northwestward. A subtropical or tropical cyclone could form later today or on Friday, and interests along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low later this morning. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible over portions of the coastal southeastern United States beginning later today. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 8 AM EDT this morning. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

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High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml

$$ Forecaster Stewart/Roberts

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