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000
ABNT20 KNHC 281732
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gaston, located about 600 miles east of Bermuda, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Eight, located about 400 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina.

Shower and thunderstorm activity has begun to increase near and to the east of a weak area of low pressure located just south of the lower Florida Keys. The low is expected to move westward into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Monday, where environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days. This system is then expected to move slowly northward and northeastward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later this week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely to continue over portions of the northwestern Bahamas, central and western Cuba, the Florida Keys and portions of southern Florida through Monday. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A weak area of low pressure located near the upper Texas coast is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and adjacent coastal areas of southwestern Louisiana and southeastern Texas. Surface pressures remain high in the area and the system's proximity to land is expected to limit significant development while it moves slowly southwestward during the next couple of days. For additional information on the rainfall associated with this system, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Conditions are expected to be favorable for development of this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

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Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$ Forecaster Brennan

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