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Atlantic 2-Day GTWO
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000
ABNT20 KNHC 302330
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave is rapidly moving westward toward the Lesser Antilles. Although satellite images show a large and well- organized area of thunderstorms associated with the wave, there are no signs of a surface circulation, and pressures are not falling significantly at this time. This system has the potential for some slow development during the next day or two, but the best chance for tropical cyclone formation is likely to be by the middle of next week, when the wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico tonight and Sunday, and then the activity should spread westward across Hispaniola. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde islands is poorly organized. This system is moving slowly westward, and development appears to be unlikely due to unfavorable upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$ Forecaster Avila

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