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000
ABNT20 KNHC 240506
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Satellite images, surface observations, and radar data from the Lesser Antilles indicate that a broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located near Guadeloupe. Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development, this system could become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles. Conditions could become more conducive later this week while the system moves near the southeastern and central Bahamas. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance later today, if necessary. Interests from the islands of the northeastern Caribbean Sea to the Bahamas should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Gusty winds, heavy rains, and possible flash floods and mudslides could occur over portions of these areas regardless of tropical cyclone formation. Please consult products issued by your local meteorological offices for further details. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$ Forecaster Stewart

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