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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 192020
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Fri Apr 19 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2000 UTC.


...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08N79W to 06N117W. The ITCZ is from 06N117W to beyond 03N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 07N and E of 88W and from 03N to 10N between 110W and 129W.


...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to locally fresh NW winds and moderate seas persist along the coast and offshore waters of Baja California, between weak high pressure west of the area and lower pressure over central Mexico. Gentle winds and moderate seas persist elsewhere.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds winds and moderate seas will persist through Sat. Looking ahead, fresh NW winds and building swell will follow a weak cold front into the waters near Guadalupe Island off Baja California Norte Sun and Mon.


...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate S winds and seas to 6 ft prevail across the waters W of Ecuador. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas in SW swell are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, light to gentle breezes will persist across the region through early next week. Wave heights will be mostly 4 to 6 ft primarily in SW swell, building to 5 to 7 ft off Ecuador Sat night.


...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Broad surface ridging persists N of 10N, supporting moderate to fresh trade winds across the tropical Pacific W of 120W. Combined seas are 7 to 9 ft in this area, in mainly shorter-period easterly waves resulting from the trade wind flow. Light to gentle breezes and moderate seas are evident elsewhere. A weak cold front has entered the far NW waters, but is having no impact on sensible weather.

For the forecast, wind speeds and wave heights will remain similar into early next week, with an area of 8 ft seas persisting from 08N to 12N W of 135W due to fresh trade winds and lingering swell. The weak cold front will stall tonight then dissipate this weekend.

$$ Konarik

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