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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290850
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0815 UTC.


...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900 UTC OR ABOUT 855 NM W-SW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA MOVING NW AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1002 MB. THE BROAD LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY TONIGHT...WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N84W ALONG 11N92W 9N100W TO 9N118W THEN RESUMES NEAR 12N131W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 81W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 99W-108W.


...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME. THESE SWELLS HAVE BEEN EFFECTING THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CALIFORNIA AND ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE SWELLS COULD STILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS.

A 1023 MB HIGH REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS THROUGH 32N125W SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 25N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA/W MEXICO OVERNIGHT WHICH IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N. THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$ PAW

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