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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 041532
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC FRI SEP 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1430 UTC.


...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 21.2N 115.2W AT 1500 UTC SEP 4 MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 998 MB. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND A DRIER MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT SUN. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.


...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH IS FROM 10N85W TO 10N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 270 NM OF TROUGH.


...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA REMAINS W OF THE FORECAST AREA NEAR 19.7N145.1W AT 1500 UTC. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY FROM 12N TO 28N W OF 137W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE FROM 00N132W TO 12N122W TO 12N113W TO 03.4S104W. THE AREAL COVERAGE OF SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BY SUN SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL COVER THE AREA FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 111W AND 117W.

$$ FORMOSA

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