000
AXPZ20 KNHC 110241
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE MAR 11 2014
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0215 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
NO MONSOON TROUGH IS PRESENT. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 03N114W
TO 09N131W TO BEYOND 05N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED.
...DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AT 1031 MB IS WELL N OF THE AREA LOCATED
NEAR 40N133W. A RIDGE EXTENDS TO THE S THROUGH 32N130W THEN SE
TO 13N101W. A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT THAT WAS POSITIONED OVER THE
NW CORNER OF THE AREA HAS DISSIPATED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
WINDS ARE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N OF THE ITCZ UNDER THE
RIDGING. A SET OF NW SWELL WITH SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF 8-14
FT EXTENDS ACROSS THE WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 29N115W TO
03N140W. THIS SET OF NW SWELL WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT
LATE TUE NIGHT.
A NEW SET OF NW SWELL WILL ARRIVE LATE TUE NIGHT...COVERING THE
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N135W TO 27N140W...THEN GRADUALLY
PROPAGATING TO THE SE THROUGH WED.
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...LIGHT TO MODERATE VARIABLE WINDS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH TUE NIGHT...BECOMING NW-N AT MODERATE TO FRESH
LEVELS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF ON WED AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION TIGHTENS. SEAS OF 1-3 FT WILL
DOMINATE THROUGH TUE NIGHT...BUILDING TO 3-5 FT N OF 28N WED AS
WINDS INCREASE.
GAP WINDS...WINDS WILL REMAIN MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE AND
VARIABLE ACROSS THE GULFS OF TEHUANTEPEC...FONSECA...PAPAGAYO
AND PANAMA THROUGH WED...EXCEPT NE-E AT MODERATE TO FRESH LEVELS
IN PAPAGAYO DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS DURING
PEAK DRAINAGE FLOW. SEAS WILL BE PRIMARILY 3-5 FT. LOOKING
AHEAD...MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY FORECASTING A
STRONG COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE GULF OF MEXICO WED THROUGH
THU. A NORTHERLY GALE FORCE WIND TEHUANTEPEC EVENT IS POSSIBLE
THU MORNING THROUGH SUNRISE FRI.
$$
LEWITSKY
