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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030255
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0230 UTC.


...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT 0300 UTC SEP 3 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 06N123W TO 15N115W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.


...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N90W TO 11N100W TO 10N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W.


...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 3. HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF THE WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY FROM 10N TO 28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE 02N131W TO 05N126W TO 05N105W TO 03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$ AL

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