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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 040906
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI SEP 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0230 UTC.


...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 20.2N 115.8W AT 0900 UTC SEP 4 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 999 MB. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND A DRIER MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT SUN. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.


...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 11N100W TO 09N92W TO 12N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 270 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM S AND 65 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 101W AND 108W.


...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA REMAINS JUST W OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY FROM 10N TO 27N W OF 136W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 3N133W TO 10N12W TO 3.4S95W. THE AREAL COVERAGE OF SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BY SAT AFTERNOON SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL COVER THE AREA FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 122W.

$$ DGS

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