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000
WTPZ35 KNHC 171150
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014
500 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

CORRECTED PRESENT MOVEMENT TO 35 DEGREES


...ODILE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...



SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...30.4N 113.4W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN FELIPE * MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO PENASCO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...DATA FROM SATELLITES AND THE NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR IN YUMA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING...AND MOVE INTO NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL...BUT RAPID WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER ODILE MOVES INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS...AND ALSO FROM NEAR SAN FELIPE AROUND THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR PUERTO PENASCO. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 18 INCHES ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATE OF SONORA. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

MOISTURE AHEAD OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO...POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SWELLS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.



NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$ FORECASTER STEWART



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