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000
WTPZ32 KNHC 210243
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PAINE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172016
800 PM PDT TUE SEP 20 2016


...PAINE GOES AWAY...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...



SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...28.0N 116.5W ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Paine was located near latitude 28.0 North, longitude 116.5 West. The low is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the northeast and a decrease in forward speed on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the remnant low will approach the northwest coast of the Baja California peninsula on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday night.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL: The remnants of Paine are expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of between one half to one inch across the northern Baja California peninsula through Wednesday. Isolated maximum storm total amounts of 6 inches are possible in association with Paine.

Rain well in advance of this system will continue to affect portions of southern California, Arizona, southern Utah, New Mexico, and southwestern Colorado with local maximum amounts of 1 to 3 inches possible, mainly over the favored higher terrain.

WIND: Wind gusts to near gale force are possible along portions of the northwest coast of the Baja California peninsula through tonight.



NEXT ADVISORY
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This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Paine. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

$$ Forecaster Brown

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