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000
WTPZ31 KNHC 311437
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014
800 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014


...VANCE MOVING ERRATICALLY WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...



SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.1N 100.8W ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 195 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST. VANCE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST- SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$ FORECASTER BLAKE



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