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000
WTNT34 KNHC 061751
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2016


...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON HERMINE...



SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...39.4N 72.3W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All coastal tropical storm warnings are discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 72.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected for the rest of today, followed by a slow and erratic motion tonight and a motion toward the northeast on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional gradual weakening is likely during the next couple of days, and Hermine may weaken below tropical storm force by Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Locally gusty winds over portions of Long Island and southeastern New England should diminish during the next 24 hours.

STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the coast of Long Island, but they should subside during the next day or so as Hermine exits the area.

RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce additional light rainfall amounts not exceeding 1 inch along the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coastlines from New Jersey to eastern Long Island to southeastern Massachusetts.

SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will continue to affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England for another couple of days. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office.



NEXT ADVISORY
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This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml, and in products issued by local National Weather Service Forecast Offices.

$$ Forecaster Beven



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