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000
WTNT31 KNHC 081449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nate Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 08 2017


...HEAVY RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND AS NATE BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...



SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...33.1N 87.3W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SW OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All coastal warnings have been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nate was located near latitude 33.1 North, longitude 87.3 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Nate's center will continue to move inland across the Deep South, Tennessee Valley, and central Appalachian Mountains through Monday.

Surface observations indicate that the maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is predicted during the next couple of days, but Nate is forecast to become post-tropical on Monday or Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND: Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are expected over the the Florida Panhandle, and portions of Alabama and Georgia through this afternoon.

STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along portions of the northern Gulf coast, but should gradually subside this afternoon.

RAINFALL: Nate is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Monday:

East of the Mississippi River from the central Gulf Coast into the Deep South, eastern Tennessee Valley, and southern Appalachians: 3 to 6 inches, max 10 inches.

Across the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians: 2 to 5 inches, max 7 inches.

TORNADOES: A couple tornadoes will be possible today, mainly from the Florida Panhandle and eastern Alabama across western and northern Georgia into the western Carolinas.

SURF: Swells generated by Nate will affect land areas around the Gulf of Mexico through this evening. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.



NEXT ADVISORY
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This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT1, WMO header WTNT31 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

$$ Forecaster Brown

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