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HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ISELLE. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS BY
LATER TODAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 139.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 139.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.3N 141.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.9N 143.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.6N 147.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.3N 150.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.0N 156.5W...NEAR HAWAII
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N 166.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ISELLE. FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA23 PHFO...BEGINNING AT 05/2100Z.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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