Home


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 022046
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014
2100 UTC TUE SEP 02 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO SANTA FE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE 210SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 106.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.4N 107.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 109.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.6N 112.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.6N 114.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 24.0N 116.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 106.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



Home