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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 211454
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017
1500 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 93.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 93.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 9.4N 95.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 10.0N 98.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 10.9N 100.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.2N 101.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.5N 104.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.0N 93.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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