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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 272032
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM ULIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192016
2100 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 139.6W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 139.6W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 139.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.5N 139.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.4N 139.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.1N 139.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.5N 145.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.5N 149.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 139.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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