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WTPZ23 KNHC 301436
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015
1500 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 129.6W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..290NE 240SE 240SW 290NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 129.6W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 129.0W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.9N 131.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.6N 134.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.2N 136.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.8N 138.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.7N 140.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 142.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.2N 143.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 129.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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