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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 252031
TCMEP3

HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016
2100 UTC MON JUL 25 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 127.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.4N 128.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.2N 129.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 129.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.9N 131.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.5N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.5N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 127.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



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