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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 222031
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014
2100 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 103.5W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 103.5W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 103.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.8N 105.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.4N 107.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.9N 109.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.8N 110.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 22.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 103.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



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