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WTPZ22 KNHC 220242
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 122.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
EYE DIAMETER 75 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 420SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 122.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 122.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.7N 123.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.8N 125.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.9N 126.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.5N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 28.5N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 122.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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