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HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 143.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 146.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMPA3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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